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It's a big week for the stock market with a deluge of economic data set to be released. AdvertisementIt's going to be a massive week for the stock market as investors prepare for a deluge of economic data and corporate earnings results. Raymond James' chief investment officer Larry Adam highlighted the top five things to watch this week that could have a big impact on stock market prices. Finally, the April jobs report set to be released on Friday will be closely watched by investors. The jobs report will provide an update on the strength of the labor market," Adam said.
Persons: Raymond James, , Larry Adam, Adam, Jerome Powell, Powell, Treasurys Organizations: Fed, Service, Treasury Department, Treasury, Apple, Investors, ISM Manufacturing, Manufacturing
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange during morning trading on February 29, 2024 in New York City. U.S. stock futures were little changed Monday night after a positive start to the week, as investors brace for megacap earnings, the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision, and a jobs report. S&P 500 futures slid 0.05%, while Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.03%. The S&P 500 added 0.32%, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.35%. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are headed for declines of more than 2%, each.
Persons: Stocks, Dan Greenhaus, CNBC's, Jerome Powell's, Eli Lilly Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Apple, Dow Jones, Management, Amazon, Restaurant Brands, PayPal, Devices, Micro Locations: New York City . U.S, China
Some members of Trump's team want to restructure the Federal Reserve, the WSJ reported. That could include allowing the president to have a direct say on interest rate decisions. Trump has previously been critical of Powell's handling of interest rates during the pandemic. To help the Fed achieve its 2% inflation target, the Federal Open Market Committee has hiked interest rates 11 consecutive times since March 2022. Advertisement"I think he's going to do something to probably help the Democrats, I think, if he lowers interest rates," Trump said, adding that "it looks to me like he's trying to lower interest rates for the sake of maybe getting people elected."
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Donald Trump, Trump, President Trump, Susie Wiles, Chris LaCivita, Powell, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Joe Biden, Robert F, Kennedy Jr, Biden Organizations: Federal Reserve, Service, Street, Trump, Management, Federal, Fed, Fox News, Republican, Florida Gov, South Carolina Gov, Biden, GOP Locations: New York
On top of that, the latest U.S. jobs market scorecard will be released along with more mega-cap earnings. This week, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield briefly climbed above 4.7% for the first time since November. That's down sharply from the six or seven rate cuts investors were anticipating coming into the year. April jobs Investors will also get an update on the labor picture next week, with the release of the April nonfarm payrolls report set for Friday. Corporate earnings season will also ramp up in the week ahead with a slew of consumer-facing companies set to report.
Persons: Stocks, Powell, David Alcaly, Jerome Powell's, we've, they're, Brian Nick, Matt Stucky, it's, Stucky, Dow Jones, Nick, Archer, Eli Lilly, Kraft, Estee, Ingersoll Rand, Stanley Black, Decker, Hershey Organizations: Nasdaq, Google, Microsoft, Treasury, Lazard Asset Management, Macro, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, Fed, Apple, Micro Computer, Dallas Fed, Paramount, ON Semiconductor, Chicago PMI, Prudential Financial, Devices, Storage, Diamondback Energy, Caesars Entertainment, Corning, Daniels, Midland, Molson Coors Beverage, Marathon Petroleum, GE Healthcare Technologies, PayPal, ADP, P Global, Manufacturing, Oil, MGM Resorts International, Allstate, Etsy, eBay, Qualcomm, MetLife, First, Devon Energy, Cruise Line Holdings, Brands, Marriott International, Kraft Heinz, Pfizer, Companies, CVS Health, Generac, Mastercard, Labor, Nation Entertainment, Booking Holdings, Natural Resources, Motorola Solutions, Expedia, EOG, Coterra Energy, Dominion Energy, Howmet Aerospace, ConocoPhillips, Moderna, PMI, Services PMI Locations: U.S, Chicago, McDonald's, Albemarle, EOG Resources
At law school, we learned about "proximate cause," one of the few valuable concepts you can take from three years of drudgery. But was that the proximate cause? No, the real proximate cause, the one that's really at fault, was the February unemployment report, which came out on March 8. At the time, many thought the proximate cause of Nvidia's pirouette was the performance of two chipmaker peers. Surely those two updates couldn't be the proximate cause of the peak of Nvidia, right?
Persons: It's, Let's, pirouette, Matt Murphy, Jay Powell, Powell, Zeus, Biden, Jim Umpleby, ferociously, Jeff Marks, Morgan Stanley, haven't, Mills, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Ann Wang Organizations: Nvidia, hasn't, Marvell Technology, Club, Broadcom, Marvell, Federal, Caterpillar, Microsoft, Nasdaq, Apple, Procter, Gamble, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Micro Locations: It's, what's, Wells Fargo, Taipei, Taiwan
Dollar steady, yen fragile after Fed comments dash rate cut bets
  + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +4 min
The comments follow a slew of data in recent weeks that highlight the strength of U.S. economy along with persistent inflation. Against a basket of currencies, the dollar was last at 106.33, just below the five month peak of 106.51 touched on Tuesday. I'm watching dollar strength and U.S. real yields very closely." On Wednesday, the yen was last at 154.65 per dollar, having touched the 34-year low of 154.79 in the previous session. The Australian dollar rose 0.12% to $0.641, while the New Zealand dollar rose 0.22 to $0.589.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, Powell's, " Powell, Ben Bennett, Kieran Williams, InTouch Capital's Williams Organizations: Federal Reserve, U.S, Traders, Investment Management, Asia FX, InTouch, CPI, New Zealand Locations: Washington, Asia, JPY, Japan
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets will hold up regardless of Fed rates, says Zoe Financial CEOAndres Garcia-Amaya, Zoe Financial CEO, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to discuss Powell's recent comments on potential rate cuts, market outlooks, and more.
Persons: Zoe, Andres Garcia, Amaya, Steve Liesman
So the Fed can keep interest rates higher for longer to cool price rises — although the central bank also has room to cut should the labor market "unexpectedly weaken," Powell added. Related storyHigher interest rates make borrowing more expensive for anything from mortgages to credit cards — it encourages people to save rather than spend, which in theory, helps bring down prices. AdvertisementConversely, lower interest rates encourage borrowing and spending — thus driving the economy when growth slows, such as during the COVID-19 pandemic when the Fed cut rates massively and pumped money into the system. But Reid thinks the excess money could be drained from the economy later this year, when money supply in the economy normalizes. AdvertisementDemand, supply chain snarls, and fiscal stimulus also contribute to inflationTo be sure, money supply isn't the only thing that contributes to inflation.
Persons: , Jerome Powell, Powell, Jim Reid, it's, Reid, Bill Dudley Organizations: Service, Wilson Center, Business, Fed, Deutsche Bank, Federal Reserve, Bloomberg Locations: Washington, New York, Dudley
Fed Powell lack of progress correction
  + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: 1 min
Powell's comments follow inflation data through the first three months of 2024 that has been higher than expected. An earlier version misstated the year.
UnitedHealth was, by far and away, the biggest Dow stock gainer, up nearly 5% after a nice quarter. Not a Dow stock, but Morgan Stanley was among Tuesday's best S & P 500 performers, and it was also our top portfolio name on the session. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER . NO FIDUCIARY OBLIGATION OR DUTY EXISTS, OR IS CREATED, BY VIRTUE OF YOUR RECEIPT OF ANY INFORMATION PROVIDED IN CONNECTION WITH THE INVESTING CLUB.
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jerome Powell, Powell, it's, Bond, Jeff Marks, Dow, UnitedHealth, Morgan Stanley, Jim Cramer's, Jim Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Fed, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Dow, Abbott Laboratories, Procter, Gamble, Constellation Brands, Energy, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: Ukraine
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks during a press conference following a closed two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy at the Federal Reserve in Washington, D.C., on Dec. 13, 2023. Since July 2023, the Fed has kept its benchmark interest rate in a target range between 5.25%-5.5%, the highest in 23 years. Powell added that until inflation shows more progress, "We can maintain the current level of restriction for as long as needed." The comments follow inflation data through the first three months of 2024 that has been higher than expected. The benchmark 2-year note , which is especially sensitive to Fed rate moves, briefly topped 5%, while the benchmark 10-year yield rose 3 basis points.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell, hasn't Organizations: Federal, Committee, Federal Reserve, Washington , D.C, Fed, Treasury Locations: Washington ,, U.S, Canada
About 45% of changes to S&P 500 analysts' earnings estimates are upgrades, as shown in the chart below, down from 50% in early 2023. AdvertisementSociete GeneraleHistorically, analyst optimism has been a good indicator for the economy's direction. Below is the S&P 500's year-over-year percentage change along with the analyst optimism measure. He says the S&P 500 is in a bubble fueled by AI optimism and could fall as much as around 60%. He sees potential downside of 39% for the S&P 500.
Persons: , Albert Edwards, Edwards, Powell's, Ed Yardeni, Let's, There's, Jeremy Grantham, David Rosenberg, Merrill Lynch Organizations: Service, Societe Generale, Business, Street, Nasdaq, Generale, Conference, Institute for Supply, subsiding, Fed, repo, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bears, Rosenberg Research, policymaking
People visit the Kartavya Path in the early evening in New Delhi, India, on Tuesday, April 18, 2023. India has overtaken China as the world's most populous nation, according to UN data released on April 19. Photographer: Prashanth Vishwanathan/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets rebounded following a sell-off in the previous session, as investors digest comments from U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. In Asia, investors will assess March service sector activity data from India, as well as retail sales numbers from Hong Kong. Markets in Hong Kong, mainland China and Taiwan are closed for a public holiday.
Persons: Prashanth Vishwanathan, Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty Images, U.S . Federal, Hong Kong . Markets Locations: New Delhi, India, China, Getty Images Asia, Pacific, U.S, Asia, Hong Kong, Taiwan
The central bank's current chief, Jerome Powell, is yet to defeat his mythical beast — and Wall Street is getting worried. Powell warned on Wednesday that the Fed's fight against inflation isn't over after annualized price growth accelerated to 3.2% in February. AdvertisementRaising the alarmBank of America analysts have suggested that stubborn inflation could mean the Fed doesn't start cutting rates until March next year. It's no wonder, then, that investors are waiting impatiently for the Fed to cut rates. Fundstrat's famously bullish boss, Tom Lee, proclaimed this week that it's dropping "like a rock" and the first rate cut is still likely to be in June.
Persons: , Paul Volcker, Jerome Powell, Powell, Greenlight Capital's David Einhorn, Einhorn, Greenlight, Dad, Robert Kiyosaki, Gary Shilling, Julia La Roche, We've, Merrill Lynch's, they've, Shilling, It's, Fundstrat's, Tom Lee Organizations: Service, Federal, Business, of America, CNBC, Trust, Wall Street, Fed
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailJerome Powell says Fed needs more signs of easing inflation to cut ratesCNBC's Steve Liesman joins 'Halftime Report' to discuss the latest news on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's remarks at Stanford University.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Steve Liesman, Jerome Powell's Organizations: Stanford University
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInflation will be key to Fed's decision on rate cuts: Moody's Mark ZandiMark Zandi, Moody's Analytics chief economist, and Ted Rossman, senior industry analyst at Bankrate, and CNBC's Steve Liesman join 'The Exchange' to break down Jerome Powell's Wednesday remarks and more.
Persons: Mark Zandi Mark Zandi, Ted Rossman, Steve Liesman, Jerome Powell's
Stubbornly high PCE inflation readings might make it difficult to lower them in June as many expect. BofA still expects three rate cuts this year, but says the next PCE readings will determine this. AdvertisementThat's because comparisons with last year's figures mean that year-over-year core PCE inflation is unlikely to decline further in the second half of 2024. "Base effects for year-over-year core PCE inflation are favorable through May, but unfavorable for six of the last seven months of the year," analysts said in a note. Prints of 30bp or more on the next two core PCE readings would probably take June off the table, particularly if activity holds up," they wrote.
Persons: BofA, , it's, Jerome Powell's Organizations: Bank of America, Service, Bloomberg, Federal Reserve, Fed
CNBC Daily Open: Fights in Mickey's club house
  + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Clement Tan | In Clemtan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Actors dressed as Walt Disney characters Mickey Mouse (left) and Minnie Mouse (right) perform during a press preview for the "Minnie Besties Bash!" This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. U.S. stocks got off to a tentative start for the second quarter as Treasury yields rose on Monday. [PRO] Top 2Q betsBank of America names its top picks for the second quarter, including one Big Tech company.
Persons: Walt Disney, Mickey Mouse, Minnie Mouse, Minnie Besties, Korea's, Jerome Powell's Organizations: Tokyo Disneyland, CNBC, Asia Hong, Japan's Nikkei, CSI, U.S, Rapidus Corporation, of America, Big Tech Locations: Tokyo, Urayasu, Japan, Asia Hong Kong, Asia, Pacific, U.S, Beijing, China, Korea, Taiwan, Hokkaido
CNBC Daily Open: Fights in the House of Mouse
  + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Clement Tan | In Clemtan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Actors dressed as Walt Disney characters Mickey Mouse (left) and Minnie Mouse (right) perform during a press preview for the "Minnie Besties Bash!" This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our new, international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Rumbling signs of lifeThe IPO market in the U.S. is showing signs of revival after more than two years. CNBC previously reported that United would pause pilot hiring this spring for the same reason.
Persons: Walt Disney, Mickey Mouse, Minnie Mouse, Minnie Besties, Jerome Powell's, Slack, Matt Orton Organizations: Tokyo Disneyland, CNBC, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, European Commission, United Airlines, Boeing Locations: Tokyo, Urayasu, Japan, U.S
The weekly chart of the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB) shows how the long-term trend has become quite strong off the October 2022 low. The higher low in October was a sign of accumulation, showing that the bearish momentum going into the summer had begun to dissipate. Once this ETF broke above its July 2023 high, it traded higher to a price gap in December of last year. In this case, the homebuilder ETF resolved this pattern to the upside in late February with a break above $105. BEFORE MAKING ANY FINANCIAL DECISIONS, YOU SHOULD STRONGLY CONSIDER SEEKING ADVICE FROM YOUR OWN FINANCIAL OR INVESTMENT ADVISOR.
Persons: Jerome Powell's, ITB, David Keller Organizations: Home, CMT Locations: U.S
In today's big story, we're looking at why the economy has most consumers feeling like they are stuck in place . A "trapped in place" economy is in full swing. Bad buying conditions coupled with everyday high prices means consumers can't make any major life changes , writes Business Insider's Emily Stewart. But it's not the only area of the economy that's stuck, Emily writes. So, while consumers lament being stuck in place, they should also avoid getting stuck looking to the past.
Persons: , Rebecca Zisser, Emily Stewart, it's, Emily, gunning, It's, Jerome Powell's, Tyler Le, Steve Mnuchin, Brian Moynihan, Instagram, Jensen Huang, Chelsea Jia Feng, Dan DeFrancesco, Hallam Bullock, Jordan Parker Erb, George Glover Organizations: Service, Business, Tech, Federal, Wall Street, Investors, Blackstone, JPMorgan, MLB, Bank of America, mojo, Nvidia, Astera Labs, NASDAQ Locations: It's, Chelsea, New York, London
Most of the banks deemed to be potentially challenged are community lenders with less than $10 billion in assets. These banks need to either raise capital, likely from private equity sources as NYCB did, or merge with stronger banks, Graham said. There are other signs of mounting stress among smaller banks. They ranged in size from $90 billion in assets to under $1 billion, according to Fitch. He predicts a surge in merger activity from lenders between $3 billion and $20 billion in assets as smaller firms look to scale up.
Persons: Klaros, Steven Mnuchin, Brian Graham, Graham, you've, PacWest, Banks, Jerome Powell, Powell, Fitch, Brendan Mcdermid, I've, Chris Caulfield, West, Spencer Stuart, You've, Frank Sorrentino, Stephens, It's, that's, Sorrentino Organizations: Silicon Valley Bank, Federal Reserve, Klaros Group, York Community Bank, ex, Fitch, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, U.S, First Republic, Mercer Capital, Bank, Dominion Bank, Capital, Regulators Locations: Silicon, California, New York City, U.S, Toronto, West Monroe, FirstSun, Seattle
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina has made Fed Chair Powell's job 'a bit more difficult', says John Hancock's Emily RolandEmily Roland, John Hancock Investment Management co-chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to preview the Fed's meeting this week, what to expect from Fed Chair Powell's commentary, interest rate outlook, latest market trends, and more.
Persons: John Hancock's Emily Roland Emily Roland, John Organizations: China, John Hancock Investment Management
Technology led the stock market higher on Monday as investors await Nvidia's big AI event. Nvidia is set to unveil its new GPU products like the B100 at its annual conference. The Fed will kick off its two-day policy meeting Tuesday, with markets expecting rates to be unchanged. AdvertisementUS stocks jumped on Monday, led by the technology sector, as investors await Nvidia's big AI conference. AdvertisementFollowing the AI-fueled excitement, investors will be turning their attention to the Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting set to begin on Tuesday.
Persons: Jensen Huang, Huang, Jerome Powell's Organizations: Technology, Nvidia, Federal, Here's
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailRoger Ferguson: Taking my expectation down to two rate cuts this yearFormer Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Roger Ferguson joins 'Squawk Box' to preview this week's Fed meeting, what to expect from Fed Chair Powell's commentary, interest rate outlook and more.
Persons: Roger Ferguson Organizations: Federal, Fed
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